Micron Forecasts Prolonged RAM Shortage Beyond 2026

Global memory supply is under unprecedented pressure as Micron, one of the world’s leading memory suppliers, warns the shortage of DRAM and NAND flash memory could extend beyond 2026. Industry analysts and consumers alike are asking: why are RAM prices skyrocketing, and when will the supply stabilize? Micron’s CEO Sanjay Mehrotra points to the AI boom as a major factor driving demand, highlighting that high-bandwidth memory (HBM) for data centers is consuming more resources than ever.

AI-Driven Demand Pushes Memory Prices Higher

As AI adoption accelerates across tech giants like OpenAI, Meta, Microsoft, and Google, Micron is seeing record revenue growth. The company reported $13.64 billion in the latest quarter, a substantial leap from $8.71 billion the previous year. AI-focused memory chips require three times the silicon wafers of standard DRAM, intensifying the strain on resources. This shift is a primary reason consumers are feeling the pinch through rising DDR5 RAM prices.

Crucial Shutdown Signals Industry Shift

Micron recently shut down its consumer-facing brand, Crucial, prioritizing lucrative AI contracts over everyday products. PCs, smartphones, smart TVs, and even connected cars now face reduced access to memory supplies. The move underscores the company’s strategy to focus on high-demand HBM technology, leaving consumer devices vulnerable to price hikes and limited availability.

Memory Supply Constraints Threaten PC Shipments

Mehrotra confirmed during the earnings call that supply shortages are unlikely to ease soon. “Supply will remain substantially short of the demand for the foreseeable future,” he said, emphasizing that memory constraints could affect PC shipments next year. The shortage is not just a cost issue—it may disrupt the timelines for new devices and upgrades.

Production Ramps Won’t Close the Gap

Micron plans to boost DRAM and NAND flash memory production by 20% in 2026, but even this increase may not meet surging demand. Analysts warn that supply chain pressures and wafer shortages could keep RAM prices elevated for years. Consumers and businesses alike may need to prepare for prolonged higher costs when building or upgrading devices.

The Ripple Effect Across Consumer Electronics

From gaming rigs to enterprise servers, the memory shortage is affecting virtually every corner of technology. Manufacturers are forced to adjust pricing, delay launches, or switch to less powerful configurations. Experts predict that this trend will continue until HBM production scales significantly, meaning everyday consumers may pay the price longer than expected.

Navigating the Memory Crunch

For those looking to buy PCs or smartphones in the next year, the RAM shortage presents a challenging landscape. Prices for DDR5 kits have already tripled in some regions, and further increases are likely. Industry watchers suggest considering upgrades sooner rather than later or exploring refurbished options to mitigate the impact of rising costs.

Looking Ahead: Will the Shortage Ease?

While Micron and other suppliers aim to expand output, experts remain cautious. The ongoing AI revolution shows no signs of slowing, and the memory-intensive nature of these technologies ensures that shortages will persist for the foreseeable future. Consumers and businesses alike should brace for sustained high prices, limited availability, and a continued reshaping of the global memory market.